Derived Indicators (cf:*)
Creative Foresight publishes original series no provider offers directly. Each one distills several public indicators into a single number you can chart, alert on, or hand to an agent — and every value traces back to the public series behind it, so anything you cite stays auditable. All cf:* series are access_tier: "premium": an unrestricted key, a key granting creative-foresight, or a $0.05 x402 payment per request.
Query them like any other indicator:
curl "https://api.creativeforesight.io/v1/observations/latest?indicator=cf%3Alabor_composite®ion=US" \
-H "Authorization: Bearer $CF_API_KEY"Catalog
| Code | What it tells you | Draws on | Cadence | Region |
|---|---|---|---|---|
cf:labor_composite | One monthly read on the health of the US labor market — is it strengthening or weakening, and how fast. | Unemployment, participation, and payrolls (FRED) | Monthly | US |
cf:macroscope_regime.regime | Which macro regime the US economy is in right now — how growth and inflation currently sit relative to each other. | Industrial production and core inflation (FRED) | Monthly | US |
cf:macroscope_regime.confidence | How firmly the current regime call holds. | Same as above | Monthly | US |
cf:recession_signal | A monthly US recession-risk gauge. | The yield curve, jobless claims, and building permits (FRED) | Monthly | US |
cf:real_income_pc | What the average American actually earns per year, adjusted for inflation. | Personal income, population, and CPI (FRED, Census) | Annual | US |
cf:housing_affordability | How far the median household income goes against the median home price. | Median household income and median home price (Census, FRED) | Annual | US |
cf:fiscal_health_tn.47187.debt_per_capita | Williamson County, TN outstanding debt per resident. | County debt and population (TN Comptroller, Census) | Annual (fiscal year) | 47187 |
cf:fiscal_health_tn.47187.debt_to_revenue | Williamson County, TN debt as a share of county revenue. | County debt and revenue (TN Comptroller) | Annual (fiscal year) | 47187 |
Multi-output series (like cf:macroscope_regime and cf:fiscal_health_tn) publish each output under its own indicator code, and each output updates independently as its inputs arrive.
Provenance
Every derived observation traces back to public data: the input series remain queryable through the same API, so an agent citing a cf:* value can also cite the exact public numbers behind it.
Freshness
Derived series update automatically when their inputs do — monthly series follow their inputs’ release schedules; annual series extend when the yearly data (ACS, PEP, county audit) lands. The date_range.end on GET /v1/indicators/{code} always tells you the current frontier.
Signals and insights run over cf:* series exactly as they do over source indicators — GET /v1/insights?indicator=cf:labor_composite returns computed facts, prose, and any active signals.